CLIMATE CHANGE EFFECTS ON ELECTRICITY LOSS DURING TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION, IRAN CASE STUDY

The stresses of the network will increase with climate change. This will increase the number of faults in current network and at the same time total duration of faults, if improvements for reliability will not be increased. It is well known that electrical losses are an inevitable consequence of the transfer of energy across electricity networks. Many different parameters have influence on loss and one of them is climate parameters and conditions. In this research we studied the effects of climate changes on transmission and distribution electricity loss and three climatic parameters (Humidity, Temperature and Pressure), for Islamic Republic of Iran. Simulations of five models participating in the EU-FP6 project ENSEMBLES (BCM2, CNRM-CM3, EGMAM, HadGEM1, and ECHAM5) were used to represent climate parameters for time intervals 1980 till 1999 for control / historical period and 2080 till 2099 for projection simulation. We find that for Iran which is located in arid and semi arid area at this time, the increasing temperature and pressure of ambient air due to climate change will affect electricity loss.

کلیدواژه ها:

Climate Parameters ، ENSEMBLES Model ، Electricity Transmission Loss ، Electricity DistributionLoss ، Electricity Loss Projection ، Transfer Functions ، Clustering Analysis