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A Novel Approach for Short Term Electric Load Forecasting Based on Wavelet Networks

عنوان مقاله: A Novel Approach for Short Term Electric Load Forecasting Based on Wavelet Networks
شناسه ملی مقاله: PSC23_029
منتشر شده در بیست و سومین کنفرانس بین المللی برق در سال 1387
مشخصات نویسندگان مقاله:

N Ghaffarzadeh - Electrical Engineering Department, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran
S Jamali - Electrical Engineering Department, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran

خلاصه مقاله:
Short term electric load forecasting is necessary for optimum operation planning of power generation facilities, as it affects both system reliability and fuel consumption. Short term load forecasting involves forecasting load demand in a short term time frame. The short time frame may consist of half hourly prediction up to weekly prediction. In this paper, a short term load forecasting realized by wavelet networks is proposed. It can predict the hourly load accurately. As a case study, the Pennsylvanian hourly load data is used for training of the wavelet network. The effectiveness of this method has been tested using practical daily load data. The proposed approach is compared to multi layer perceptron neural networks with Back Propagation training algorithm. The simulation results show that the presented intelligent technique for load forecasting cangive satisfactory results

کلمات کلیدی:
Short term forecasting, Wavelet Networks, Time series prediction, Regression

صفحه اختصاصی مقاله و دریافت فایل کامل: https://civilica.com/doc/130959/