The relationship between macroeconomic variables and asset prices in Iran in the period 0991 -0101
سال انتشار: 1397
نوع سند: مقاله کنفرانسی
زبان: انگلیسی
مشاهده: 395
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شناسه ملی سند علمی:
CONFME04_469
تاریخ نمایه سازی: 18 اسفند 1397
چکیده مقاله:
The aim of current research was to investigate the impact of macroeconomic variables on asset prices during years between 1991-2212 in Iran. The macroeconomic variables included inflation rate, gross national income, interest rate, oil price and foreign currency equality. At the first, short term modes estimated. Then long term models estimated applying ARDL method and error correction equilibrium. At the end, tests fordemand function structural stability applied. Results indicated: In long term, gross national production, oil income, liquidity and inflation havestatistically positive significant impact and interest rate, loans and stock price index have a negative impact on housing prices.In long term, GDP and liquidity has positive impact on currency price while inflation and interest rate has negative impact on stock prices.The interest rate, the oil price and currency price has negative while inflation has a positive impact on gold prices. Interest rate causes the price lose in the currency
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نویسندگان
Mahnaz Saeedikiya
Phd Candidate in Economics ,Department of Economics, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Iran
Abdolali Monsef
Professor in Economics ,Department of Economics, Payame Noor University of Isfahan, Iran
Shirin Shirin
Phd Candidate in Economics ,Department of Economics, Islamic Azad University of Tabriz, Iran