Probabilistic Modelling of Electric Vehicles' Parking Lots Charging Demand

Increasing growing of electricity demand and environmental issues bring huge incentives to electric vehicles (EVs) market. EVs will improve the functionalities of presentpower system. On the other hand, unscheduled high penetration of EVs may have detrimental effects on power systemperformance. Reliability and stability are the most aspects ofgrid that face challenges when EVs used widely. As a result there is an exigent need to predict the EVs' customers in orderto avoid irreparable effects, especially for the distribution network. In this paper, firstly a EVs' customer behaviour model willbe discussed. Secondly, a probabilistic modelling of EVs' charging demand is introduced. This consummate model is on the two bases: technical specifications of different EV classes and historical driving data. Finally, sensitivity analysis is done in order to validate the model performance

کلیدواژه ها:

Smart Grid ، Electric Vehicle(EV) ، Probabilistic Charging Demand