Application of Correlation Analysis Based on Principal Components in the Study of Global Temperature Changes

The current issue of global warming is prominent, and there are many factors that affect global temperature changes. Therefore, how to correctly judge the relationship between each influencing factor and global temperature changes and accurately find out the main reasons of global temperature rise which are the problems that must be considered and solved to alleviate global warming at present. According to previous official data, this paper proposed a correlation analysis method based on principal components to comprehensively analyze the relationship between natural disaster factors, human factors, and global temperature changes, and find out the main reasons that affect global temperature rise. Compared with traditional research methods, the new method provided in this paper can still remain scientific and accurate calculation results while reducing computational dimensions. The experimental results showed that in the relationship between natural disasters and global temperature changes, the average correlation coefficient of the principal component represented by biological disasters and geological disasters was the highest at ۰.۶۰۹۷ and a test value of p<۰.۰۵, indicating a significant positive correlation between them and global temperature. However, the correlation coefficient of the principal component represented by floods and storms was negative, indicating a negative correlation between them and global temperature. In exploring the main factors affecting global temperature rise, both the total global population and the total global CO۲ emissions had a significant positive correlation with global temperature. Among them, the average correlation coefficient of the total global population was the highest at ۰.۹۹۷۲, and its weight also was the highest at ۲۶.۴۲%. Therefore, this indicates that the total global population is the most important factor affecting global temperature rise. This study can provide reference for countries to make decisions in response to global warming.

کلیدواژه ها:

Correlation analysis ، Correlation coefficient ، Global average temperature ، Influence factor ، Principal component analysis