ارزیابی اثرات زیست محیطی پروژه های گردشگری (مطالعه ی موردی: منطقه گردشگری اوان)

Extended Abstract With the daily increase in world population, and considering the human need for travel and recreation, development of tourism regions is one of the necessities of every modern society. Due to the direct contact between people and nature in tourism regions, the resulting inter-related consequences of this contact are of special complexity. In this research, the Rapid Impact Assessment Matrix (RIAM) method was modified using Fuzzy Analysis Network Process (FANP) and the modified method was employed to evaluate the environmental effects of developing the Evan tourism region, because the modified method could evaluate the consequences of this development better and more realistically.   Introduction Tourism can have various and considerable effects on tourism regions. These effects may be of social, cultural, economic, political, and environmental nature. Considering the complexity and wide range of tourism activities, their resultant effects are also numerous and of inter-related dimensions that must be considered in studies conducted on tourism (Mason, ۲۰۰۳). Basically EIA is demanded for two separate reasons. The first one is to analyze systematically both the beneficial and the harmful environmental impacts caused by various developmental undertakings. Particularly the aim is to understand the significant impacts a development may cause. Secondly, EIA process enables framed conversation about the project and its impacts with the players of the society and the public (Barker and Wood, ۱۹۹۹; Canter, ۱۹۹۶). Tourism effects cannot be simply classified as social, environmental, or economical because they tend to have many inter-related dimensions (Mason, ۲۰۰۳). Therefore, multi-criteria decision making methods can be used to overcome this problem. This study, in which the RIAM method modified by Fuzzy Analysis Network Process (FANP) was used, environmental impact assessment of tourism projects. The Evan tourism region in Qazvin was selected for the study.   The case study Evan is situated between ۵۰°۲۴ʹ۰۹ʺ and ۵۰°۲۸ʹ۵۳ʺ eastern longitude and ۳۶°۲۸ʹ۰۳ʺ and ۳۶°۳۱ʹ۲۹ʺ northern latitude. It borders the crest of the Kooh-e Langeh heights on the east, the crest of the heights west of Zarabad on the west, the crest of the Kooh-e Iman heights on the north, and extends to a distance of ۵۰۰ meters from the Kushk village on the south.   Materials and Methods FANP Analysis Network Process (ANP) is a complicated method for relating components of the decision making process to each other through substituting the hierarchical structure for the network structure (Zebardast, ۲۰۱۰). Therefore, this is an ideal method for modeling and establishing interactions and dependencies between indices. Moreover, considering the ambiguity and uncertainty involved in the judgment of decision makers about the components, fuzzy logic can be used in which a range of values is considered to express the uncertainties (Karimi, ۲۰۱۴).   RIAM The concept of rapid impact assessment matrix, developed by Pastakia in ۱۹۹۸, is based on a standard definition of important evaluation criteria; and it is a tool for organizing, analyzing, and presenting results obtained from a comprehensive evaluation of environmental effects (Sharafi et al, ۲۰۰۸). This method presents special evaluation components for defining the stages of identifying the potential environmental effects (Mondal et al, ۲۰۰۹).         Combining two methods In the RIAM method that is modified by Fuzzy Analysis Network Process, the weights obtained from the FANP are multiplied by the sum of the scores to calculate the total modified scores.   Discussion and Results FANP Considering the views of the experts, and using the FANP technique, paired comparisons were made between the indices and components.   Sub-criteria Effects on traffic Employment Economy of the local society Land use Infrastructure development Industries Culture Historic and natural attractions Historic-cultural sights Public sanitation and health Migration Public welfare Education and training Population growth Effects on sensitive ecosystems Effects on landscapes and sights Wildlife Plant cover Noise pollution Air quality Volume of water sources Quality of water sources Landslide and drift Soil Landform Weights of sub-criteria ۰.۰۳۷۸ ۰.۰۷۱۸۲ ۰.۰۷۹۳۸ ۰.۰۲۲۶۸۴ ۰.۰۱۴۲۰۴ ۰.۰۱۸۲۳۲ ۰.۰۱۷۳۸۴ ۰.۰۱۵۶۸۸ ۰.۰۱۵۲۶۴ ۰.۰۱۹۹۲۸ ۰.۰۱۵۲۶۴ ۰.۰۲۹۶۸ ۰.۰۱۸۸۶۸ ۰.۰۲۴۸۰۴ ۰.۰۷۰۰۸ ۰.۰۴۰۸۸ ۰.۰۸۱۷۶ ۰.۰۸۸۲۸ ۰.۰۲۴۵۶ ۰.۰۳۶۸۴ ۰.۰۴۹۱۲ ۰.۰۴۶۰۵ ۰.۰۳۹۹۱ ۰.۰۵۲۱۹ ۰.۰۸۵۳ Table ۱: Weights of sub-criteria Source: calculations made in this research   RIAM Environmental impact assessment related to executing, or not executing, the project was carried out using the Pastakia matrix method to identify the positive and negative environmental effects and to offer corrective strategies. In this evaluation, activities in the project were broken down and their effects were specified.    Table ۲: Summing up the numbers and ranges of the effects related to the options Range of effects Options +E +D +C +B +A N -A -B -C -D -E Final  score Final modified score Not executing the project ۰ ۰ ۰ ۰ ۰ ۱۳ ۱۲ ۰ ۰ ۰ ۰ -۲.۴۴ -۲.۸۶ Executing the project ۰ ۲ ۵ ۸ ۸ ۳ ۱۰ ۱۰ ۴ ۰ ۰ ۲.۱۴ -۰.۱۱ Source: calculations made in this research   Conclusions In this research, modified results of the relationships between the effects were also investigated using a combination of Rapid Impact Assessment Matrix and Fuzzy Analysis Network Process. These results, obtained from the comparison between the sums of the ranges of modified scores (ES*), conform to those of regular Rapid Impact Assessment Matrix; and execution of the project is deemed appropriate. The difference is that the new results indicate the negative effects of executing the project are greater than the positive ones, but these negative effects are fewer in comparison with those related to the option of not executing the projects. Based on the above conclusion and considering the positive effects of the project, considering that most of the negative effects are insignificant ones, and due to the possibility of reducing these negative effects through execution of management programs and environmental monitoring in the implementation and utilization processes, it is possible to execute the above-mentioned project in the region. In tourism projects, separating the effects of tourism from each other without considering their relationships does not seem to be very logical and results in differences between the obtained results and the actual reality in the environment, because there is a close relationship between these effects and the visitors (tourists). 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کلیدواژه ها:

ارزیابی آثار زیست محیطی ، RIAM ، توسعه ی گردشگری ، FANP ، منطقه گردشگری اوان